Can the Sudan Reduce Poverty by Half by the Year 2015 .

 

 

 

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Can the Sudan Reduce Poverty by Half by the Year 2015

 

 

العنوان: Can the Sudan Reduce Poverty by Half by the Year 2015

WPS0304 :ISSN

الناشر : Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait

المؤلف (المؤلفين): Ali Abdel Gader Ali 

التاريخ: 2003

المحتويات :

The paper investigates the feasibility of achieving the Millennium Development Goal of reducing poverty by half by the year 2015 in the context of Sudan. An analytical framework for the changes in poverty over time is presented. The framework allows an indirect method for the calculation of the relevant variables to be used for countries that do not have the required information. The indirect method is used for Sudan. Starting from 2001 as a base year it is shown that Sudan needs to attain, and sustain, a GDP growth rate of about 7 percent per annum to achieve the MDG on poverty. Alternatively, it is shown that it will take Sudan, growing at a per capita GDP rate of 2.2 per cent per annum (equivalent to a GDP growth rate of about 5 per cent per annum) about
28 years to achieve the MDG on poverty. On both counts the results show the infeasibility of achieving the MDG on poverty and suggest that the formulation of the time horizon for the MDG on poverty should be left free to be determined by country circumstances.