
Unemployment And Labor Market Institutions: Theory and Evidence From The GCC
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| Author: | Mohamed Suliman , Mahmoud Nabi | |
| Series: | WPS0806 | |
| Language: | English | |
| Publisher: | Arab planning institute - Kuwait | |
| Description: |
The theoretical model delves into the relationship between labor market institutions and unemployment by proving
two propositions: (1) allowing informal activity bolsters job creation, and (2) if the institutional environment
is initially, sufficiently, weak, then mitigating it will lower unemployment. Simulating the model with the GCC’s
unemployment for the period 1990-2007 allows us to decipher the validity of the model. The institutional environment
is represented in this simulation by social insurance which is captured through oil prices. Hence, an increase in oil
prices is assumed to lead to higher social insurance and, therefore ,to higher cost of hiring labour . The parameters
are selected with the objective of minimizing the error gap between the effective unemployment rate and the simulated
unemployment rate . The effective unemployment rate is constructed as a weighted average of the unemployment rate of
nationals and non-nationals. The weights are the shares of national and non-national labour-force in the GCC countries.
Expositional simulations verified the second proposition. Thus, improving labor market institutions, that are initially
weak may discernibly alleviate unemployment problems in the GCC.
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Free Download Edition | |
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| Date: | 2008 |
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| Number of Pages: | 18 |
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| File size : | 453KB |
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| Delivery media: | Download file |
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